Have you placed your bets in the Runner's World contest?
I have him down for 2:59:58.
Yes, he's 30lb heavier than a Paul Tergat and yes, his joints aren't used to the pounding, but this guy has got a very strong mind and a killer competitive instinct.
If Armstrong is way outside 3 hours then may decide to just have fun and run to finish without doing too much damage to himself. But if he gets within reach of a sub-3-hour run, I'm betting he will go for it.
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